style: format all files with prettier

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Seth Hobson
2026-01-19 17:07:03 -05:00
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---
description: "Create detailed 3-5 year financial model with revenue, costs, cash flow, and scenarios"
allowed-tools: ["Read", "Write", "Edit", "Glob", "Grep", "Bash", "WebSearch", "WebFetch"]
allowed-tools:
["Read", "Write", "Edit", "Glob", "Grep", "Bash", "WebSearch", "WebFetch"]
---
# Financial Projections
@@ -10,6 +11,7 @@ Create a comprehensive 3-5 year financial model with revenue projections, cost s
## What This Command Does
This command builds a complete financial model including:
1. Cohort-based revenue projections
2. Detailed cost structure (COGS, S&M, R&D, G&A)
3. Headcount planning by role
@@ -26,34 +28,40 @@ When this command is invoked, follow these steps:
Ask the user for essential information:
**Business Model:**
- Revenue model (SaaS, marketplace, transaction, etc.)
- Pricing structure (tiers, average price)
- Target customer segments
**Starting Point:**
- Current MRR/ARR (if any)
- Current customer count
- Current team size
- Current cash balance
**Growth Assumptions:**
- Expected monthly customer acquisition
- Customer retention/churn rate
- Average contract value (ACV)
- Sales cycle length
**Cost Assumptions:**
- Gross margin or COGS %
- S&M budget or CAC target
- Current burn rate (if applicable)
**Funding:**
- Planned fundraising (amount, timing)
- Pre/post-money valuation
### Step 2: Activate startup-financial-modeling Skill
The startup-financial-modeling skill provides frameworks. Reference it for:
- Revenue modeling approaches
- Cost structure templates
- Headcount planning guidance
@@ -64,18 +72,21 @@ The startup-financial-modeling skill provides frameworks. Reference it for:
**Use Cohort-Based Approach:**
For each month, track:
1. New customers acquired
2. Existing customers retained (apply churn)
3. Revenue per cohort (customers × ARPU)
4. Expansion revenue (upsells)
**Formula:**
```
MRR (Month N) = Σ across all cohorts:
(Cohort Size × Retention Rate × ARPU) + Expansion
```
**Project:**
- Monthly detail for Year 1-2
- Quarterly detail for Year 3
- Annual for Years 4-5
@@ -85,29 +96,34 @@ MRR (Month N) = Σ across all cohorts:
Break down operating expenses:
**1. Cost of Goods Sold (COGS)**
- Hosting/infrastructure (% of revenue or fixed)
- Payment processing (% of revenue)
- Variable customer support
- Third-party services
Target gross margin:
- SaaS: 75-85%
- Marketplace: 60-70%
- E-commerce: 40-60%
**2. Sales & Marketing (S&M)**
- Sales team compensation
- Marketing programs
- Tools and software
- Target: 40-60% of revenue (early stage)
**3. Research & Development (R&D)**
- Engineering team
- Product management
- Design
- Target: 30-40% of revenue
**4. General & Administrative (G&A)**
- Executive team
- Finance, legal, HR
- Office and facilities
@@ -118,11 +134,13 @@ Target gross margin:
Create role-by-role hiring plan:
**Reference team-composition-analysis skill for:**
- Roles by stage
- Compensation benchmarks
- Hiring velocity assumptions
**For each role:**
- Title and department
- Start date (month/quarter)
- Base salary
@@ -130,6 +148,7 @@ Create role-by-role hiring plan:
- Equity grant
**Track departmental ratios:**
- Engineering: 40-50% of team
- Sales & Marketing: 25-35%
- G&A: 10-15%
@@ -151,6 +170,7 @@ Runway = Cash Balance / Monthly Burn Rate
```
**Include Funding Events:**
- Timing of raises
- Amount raised
- Use of proceeds
@@ -161,17 +181,20 @@ Runway = Cash Balance / Monthly Burn Rate
Calculate monthly/quarterly:
**Unit Economics:**
- CAC (S&M spend / new customers)
- LTV (ARPU × margin% / churn rate)
- LTV:CAC ratio (target > 3.0)
- CAC payback period (target < 18 months)
**Efficiency Metrics:**
- Burn multiple (net burn / net new ARR) - target < 2.0
- Magic number (net new ARR / S&M spend) - target > 0.5
- Rule of 40 (growth% + margin%) - target > 40%
**Cash Metrics:**
- Monthly burn rate
- Runway in months
- Cash efficiency
@@ -181,16 +204,19 @@ Calculate monthly/quarterly:
Build conservative, base, and optimistic projections:
**Conservative (P10):**
- New customers: -30% vs. base
- Churn: +20% vs. base
- Pricing: -15% vs. base
- CAC: +25% vs. base
**Base (P50):**
- Most likely assumptions
- Primary planning scenario
**Optimistic (P90):**
- New customers: +30% vs. base
- Churn: -20% vs. base
- Pricing: +15% vs. base
@@ -201,11 +227,13 @@ Build conservative, base, and optimistic projections:
Create comprehensive markdown report with tables:
**Section 1: Executive Summary**
- 3-5 year financial snapshot
- Key metrics at scale
- Funding requirements
**Section 2: Model Assumptions**
- Revenue model and pricing
- Growth assumptions
- Cost structure assumptions
@@ -213,12 +241,14 @@ Create comprehensive markdown report with tables:
**Section 3: Revenue Projections**
Monthly/quarterly tables showing:
```
| Month | New Customers | Total Customers | MRR | ARR | Growth % |
|-------|---------------|-----------------|-----|-----|----------|
```
**Section 4: Cost Breakdown**
```
| Department | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | % Revenue |
|------------|--------|--------|--------|-----------|
@@ -229,6 +259,7 @@ Monthly/quarterly tables showing:
```
**Section 5: Headcount Plan**
```
| Department | Current | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 |
|------------|---------|--------|--------|--------|
@@ -236,12 +267,14 @@ Monthly/quarterly tables showing:
```
**Section 6: Cash Flow Analysis**
```
| Quarter | Revenue | Expenses | Net Burn | Cash Balance | Runway |
|---------|---------|----------|----------|--------------|--------|
```
**Section 7: Key Metrics**
```
| Metric | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Target |
|--------|--------|--------|--------|--------|
@@ -251,6 +284,7 @@ Monthly/quarterly tables showing:
```
**Section 8: Scenario Analysis**
```
| Scenario | Year 3 ARR | Customers | Burn | Runway |
|----------|------------|-----------|------|--------|
@@ -260,12 +294,14 @@ Monthly/quarterly tables showing:
```
**Section 9: Funding Requirements**
- Amount needed
- Use of proceeds breakdown
- Milestones to achieve
- Expected valuation impact
**Section 10: Validation**
- Sanity checks performed
- Benchmark comparisons
- Risk factors
@@ -274,6 +310,7 @@ Monthly/quarterly tables showing:
### Step 10: Save Model
Offer to save as markdown file:
- Suggest filename: `financial-projections-YYYY-MM-DD.md`
- Include note that user can convert to Excel/Sheets
- Provide formulas for key calculations
@@ -281,6 +318,7 @@ Offer to save as markdown file:
## Financial Model Best Practices
**Do:**
- Use cohort-based revenue model
- Include 3 scenarios
- Show monthly detail (Year 1-2)
@@ -291,6 +329,7 @@ Offer to save as markdown file:
- Include fundraising milestones
**Don't:**
- Be overly optimistic on growth
- Underestimate costs
- Forget fully-loaded compensation
@@ -302,6 +341,7 @@ Offer to save as markdown file:
## Integration with Other Commands
Pairs well with:
- `/market-opportunity` - Use SOM for revenue ceiling
- `/business-case` - Include projections in business case